"Everything you need to know about gold"
Kelsey Williams No matter how harsh it sounds, it is true. Unfortunately, too many people don’t want to hear it and refuse to listen.
Acknowledgement of the facts doesn’t seem to deter its supporters. We are told that silver’s ongoing underperformance relative to gold makes it “a better buy” with “more profit potential”.
Let’s see what the charts say.
The first gold coins appeared around 560 B.C. Over time it became a practice to store larger amounts of gold in warehouses. Paper receipts were issued certifying that the gold was on deposit. These receipts were negotiable instruments of trade and commerce which could be signed over to others. They were not actual currency but are a presumed forerunner to our modern checking system.
Gold is original money. It was money before paper receipts were issued. The paper receipts were not money. They were substitutes for real money. Today, all paper currencies are substitutes for real money.
When will people wake up to the fact that investing in gold mining shares is not a good idea?
What are the experts seeing and thinking when they talk about the “positive outlook for mining shares”? For the life of me, I just don’t get it.
And, as far as gold stocks outperforming gold, well, just forget about it.
When government (or a President) claims that Federal Reserve policy is hurting the economy, they are either grandstanding, or are ignorant about the function and purpose of the Federal Reserve.
No one wants to see the economy suffer, anymore than they want to see a plague, or infectious disease, affect millions of people. And no President wants to be in office to preside over a recession or depression. But neither can they exercise any power or influence regarding the implementation of Fed policy; particularly when it comes to interest rates.
TARIFFS AND TRADE WARS…
Here is an article that explains some of the negative effects of tariffs. Any possibility of seeing the incarnation of free trade and common sense economic policy is out the window for now. As long as countries continue to act like immature school kids, the house is in danger of burning down.
We know that inflation is the debasement of money by government. The effects of inflation show up in the form of rising prices over time. The rising prices are a reflection of the loss of purchasing power of the currency involved. For our purposes, that means the U.S. dollar.
The chart below depicts increases in the Consumer Price Index, year-to-year, dating back to 1914…
FEDERAL RESERVE AND MARKET RISK
Analysis and opinions of the financial markets vary depending on who is doing the analyzing. The most critical element that affects the song is the singer.
There is nothing wrong with that. But we should be aware that our own prejudice clouds our perspective. However, there is more that is not so obvious. With that in mind, lets take a look at things.
Today, more than ever before (at least it seems that way), focus is on the Federal Reserve. Even economists and the general public have joined the throngs of interested observers.
Stocks and bonds fell significantly over the past several days, partly in response to statements by Chairman Powell. The Chairman’s remarks indicated the intention of the Fed to continue its push to raise interest rates more aggressively, and without seeming regard to any deleterious effects on the economy and the stock market.
So, we hear criticism that the Fed is guilty of policy error. “The Fed needs to be more accommodative at this time.” Maybe; maybe not.
One of the earliest articles I wrote was “A Loaf Of Bread, A Gallon Of Gas, An Ounce Of Gold”. The information contained in the article is basic to a fundamental and accurate understanding of gold.
The convolution and complication of basic fundamentals reigns supreme in almost all analysis of gold. That is unfortunate, because it obscures the simple truth.
The simple truth is that gold is real money. Even that simple truth, however, deserves some further explanation.
Most technical analysis of gold boils down to “what the charts tell us about gold’s next move”. The next move according to most seers of the trade – is “imminently bullish” and represents one, last chance for investors to save their financial souls.
The problem is that more people have lost more money by ‘investing’ in gold upon the advice of those who proffer it, than will likely ever be made up going forward.”…Kelsey Williams
There are several reasons for that.
It is very difficult to let go of someone – or something – when we have invested so much time and energy in it. It is even harder when we have invested so much of ourselves in it; when the outcome is not what we expected; when our reputation is at stake.
In this particular case, that something is gold and silver.
The emotional proclamations just a few weeks ago seemed quite strong, almost being religious in their fervor. But after two thrusts of the dagger to the heart, the explanations afterwards seem a bit hollow.